Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001815 0.001999 0.002184 0.002383 0.002591 0.002801 0.003030
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001405 0.001683 0.001975 0.002299 0.002650 0.003015 0.003421
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001111 0.001463 0.001846 0.002289 0.002781 0.003306 0.003903
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000863 0.001265 0.001724 0.002275 0.002903 0.003590 0.004386
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000684 0.001126 0.001655 0.002311 0.003079 0.003934 0.004941
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000534 0.001000 0.001588 0.002341 0.003244 0.004267 0.005489
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000402 0.000877 0.001511 0.002350 0.003381 0.004566 0.006000
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000273 0.000732 0.001389 0.002293 0.003431 0.004762 0.006391
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000187 0.000632 0.001315 0.002289 0.003539 0.005023 0.006857
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000549 0.001254 0.002293 0.003654 0.005290 0.007329
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000514 0.001259 0.002383 0.003877 0.005686 0.007955
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000480 0.001260 0.002465 0.004087 0.006066 0.008562
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000021 0.000369 0.001130 0.002369 0.004079 0.006197 0.008895
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000288 0.001038 0.002320 0.004131 0.006405 0.009327
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000236 0.000990 0.002333 0.004267 0.006720 0.009894
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000189 0.000938 0.002337 0.004389 0.007019 0.010444
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000159 0.000917 0.002387 0.004574 0.007400 0.011096
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000130 0.000892 0.002427 0.004746 0.007763 0.011730
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000101 0.000855 0.002443 0.004883 0.008083 0.012309
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000065 0.000781 0.002390 0.004917 0.008268 0.012722
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000044 0.000739 0.002389 0.005024 0.008545 0.013249
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000029 0.000703 0.002396 0.005140 0.008834 0.013791
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000024 0.000716 0.002491 0.005386 0.009295 0.014548